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22 March 2015

List of Scenarios for San Miguel to be Able to QUALIFY to the NEXT ROUND

The table below contains the list of scenarios (Except scenario #4) the San Miguel will need to be able to have a chance and make it to the next round of the 2015 PBA Commissioner's Cup. Although this will really take a miracle to happen, who knows? San Miguel fans out there, read carefully and good luck for your team. Note: This scenarios are only predictions, we disclaim any inaccuracy(ies) that we might wrote for this article.


List of Scenarios for San Miguel to be Able to QUALIFY to the NEXT ROUND

Legends: San Miguel (SMB), GlobalPort (GLO), Barako Bull (BAR), Alaska (ALA), and Point Differential (PD).

List of Scenarios for San Miguel to be Able to QUALIFY to the NEXT ROUND

SCENARIO #   1:
- 4 Way Tie at 4-7 between SMB, GlobalPort, Barako, and KIA
- Assumes that Barako loses to NLEX
- Assumes that San Miguel will win by 14 points against GlobalPort
- Assumes that Alaska will win against Ginebra
SMB GLO BAR KIA Getting the PD Total PD
SMB - (102-91)
+11
(78-88)
-10
+11-10 +1
GLO - (99-81)
+18
(100-89)
+11
+18+11 +29
BAR (91-102)
-11
(81-99)
-18
- (95-86)
+9
-18-11+9 -20
KIA (88-78)
+10
(89-100)
-11
(86-95)
-9
- +10-11-9 -10
Therefore: San Miguel Beermen needs to win against GlobalPort Batang Pier by at least 14 points to get the 8th spot in the elimination round. That would be +1+14 = +15 and GlobalPort's point differential (PD) will be +29-14 = +15. Using the Quotient System even though they both have +15 PD, SMB still wins the last spot.

SCENARIO #   2: 
4 Way Tie at 4-7 between SMB, GlobalPort, Alaska, and KIA
Assumes that Alaska loses to Ginebra
Assumes that Barako wins over NLEX
Assumes that San Miguel will win by 31 points against GlobalPort
SMB GLO ALA KIA Getting the PD Total PD
SMB - (100-107)
-7
(78-88)
-10
-7-10 -17
GLO - (95-73)
+22
(100-89)
+11
+22+11 +33
ALA (107-100)
+7
(73-95)
-22
- (89-103)
-14
+7-22-14 -29
KIA (88-78)
+10
(89-100)
-11
(103-89)
+14
- +10-11+14 +13
Therefore: San Miguel Beermen needs to win by a whopping +31 points against GlobalPort Batang Pier. That would be -17+31 = +14 for SMB, then GlobalPort will be +33-31 = 2. SMB will then get the 8th spot. This scenario, although is very impossible to be done, but who knows.


SCENARIO #   3: (The BEST WAY FOR SMB TO QUALIFY TO THE NEXT ROUND)
- 5 Way Tie at 4-7 between SMB, GlobalPort, Barako, Alaska and KIA
- Assumes that Barako loses against NLEX
- Assumes that Alaska loses against Ginebra
- Assumes that SMB will win against GlobalPort by at least 11 points
SMB GLO BAR KIA ALA Getting the PD Total PD
SMB - (102-91)
+11
(78-88)
-10
(100-107)
-7
+11-10-7 -6
GLO - (99-81)
+18
(100-89)
+11
(95-73)
+22
+18+11+22 +51
BAR (91-102)
-11
(81-99)
-18
- (95-86)
+9
(93-91)
+2
-11-18+9+2 -18
KIA (88-78)
+10
(89-100)
-11
(86-95)
-9
- (103-89)
+14
+10-11-9+14 +4
ALA (107-100)
+7
(73-95)
-22
(91-93)
-2
(89-103)
-14
- +7-22-2-14 -31
Therefore: SMB only needs to win by at least 11 points against GlobalPort Batang Pier to qualify to the next round. That would be -6+11 = +5 for SMB, and +51-11 = +41 for GlobalPort. They both advances to the next round. GlobalPort will be #7 and SMB will be #8.

SCENARIO # 4:
- 3 Way Tie between SMB, GlobalPort, and KIA
- Assumes that Barako wins against NLEX
- Assumes that Alaska wins against Ginebra
Therefore: SMB, GlobalPort, Kia will join Blackwater as officially eliminated in the 2015 PBA Commissioner's Cup. Barako and Alaska will then take the 8th and 7th spot.

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